Manchester United will not progress beyond the Champions League group phase this season, according to the FiveThirtyEight supercomputer.
The website uses their own method – which is explained in plenty of detail here – which correlates with the team’s market value.
As well as this, each team’s average expected goals scored and expected goals conceded are also considered before making the final prediction.
United made this season’s Champions League with a final day victory over Leicester City in the last campaign, after playing Europa League football in 2019/20.
So far this season, United haven’t shown what they managed to do in the latter stages of the last campaign.
Post-lockdown, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men were in sparkling form – with Mason Greenwood, Anthony Martial, Bruno Fernandes and Marcus Rashford all shining for the Norwegian’s team.
However, an opening day defeat to Crystal Palace, and then two games later, losing to Tottenham in the manner they did, meant Solskjaer and the players came under a lot of scrutiny. They have since put some of that behind them with a big win against Newcastle United.
United are yet to play their first Champions League game of the season, but they do take on Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday night in their opening match of Group H.
It’s the French side, RB Leipzig of Germany and Istanbul Basaksehir for United, who face a tough group.
According to the FiveThirtyEight predictor, United will not get out of the group, with PSG and Leipzig the third and eighth most likely team to win the European competition, the supercomputer states.
Manchester City are the second-most likely team to be crowned champions, with last season’s winners Bayern Munich unsurprisingly named as the team to beat.
Then it’s United’s Group H opponents, PSG, followed by Barcelona, Liverpool, Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid and Leipzig.