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Week 7 NFL DFS Picks: Best value players, sleepers for FanDuel, DraftKings daily fantasy football lineups

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Week 7 is shaping up to be another good one for NFL DFS players. The bye weeks aren’t too bad (Vikings, Dolphins, Ravens, Colts), and there some big-time players returning from byes/injuries (Michael Thomas, Keenan Allen). As daily fantasy football players start putting together the rough drafts of their eventual DraftKings and FanDuel lineups for cash games and tournaments, RotoQL is here to help by highlighting our favorite value sleepers and under-the-radar picks in cash games and tournaments.

If you read this column last week, you would have benefited from our advice to plug in QBs Kirk Cousins or Ryan Fitzpatrick, RBs Ronald Jones II and David Montgomery, WRs Brandin Cooks and Travis Fulgham, and the Dolphins defense. By selecting even a few of these value picks, DFS managers would have afforded themselves cap space for Derrick Henry and Julio Jones’ monster weeks, combining sleepers with week-in, week-out studs for double the pleasure, double the fun.

As always, fantasy owners can read Week 7 previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7 on BetQL, find out which side the pros are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, follow all the NFL public betting data, and build DraftKings lineups on RotoQL.

Let’s break down our top Week 7 DFS value plays, and you can get an idea of why 100,000 DFS players trust RotoQL to build lineups. We constantly monitor pricing and provide the most up-to-date insight and analysis to maximize your lineup success. Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today!

NFL DFS Picks Week 7: QB sleepers, values

Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions (DK: $6,700 | FD: $7,800)

Full disclosure: We almost went Kyler Murray at home versus Seattle here despite his higher pricing of $7,100/$8,400 (Fly, Kyler, Fly!), but Ryan at $400 and $600 cheaper, respectively, clearly represents the better value play. Matty Ice scored 31.7 fantasy points in Minnesota last weekend thanks to 374 passing yards and four touchdowns. Now the Dirty Birds go home to Atlanta against a Lions secondary that already allowed veterans Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees to stomp them this season. Julio Jones is back to full strength, Calvin Ridley looks like a topthree receiver, and Matty has his mojo back. Go with Ryan for a 20-point floor, but spend up a bit and go with Murray if you want a 35-point ceiling.

Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $6,400 | FD: $7,500)

Herbert has deserved a spot on this list for a while now, but the Chargers played on Monday Night Football in Week 5 and got moved to a bye last week. Finally, a chance to talk about the dazzling Rookie of the Year frontrunner. Herbert has completed 68.8 percent of his passes for 1,195 yards and nine touchdowns. His passer rating stands at a robust 107.1, ninth in the NFL. Forget the total stats leaderboards — look at the per-game averages. The kid ranks fifth in yards per game and 10th in touchdown percentage. All that’s been missing for Herbert has been wins, which can easily be fixed by the Jaguars at home. Hold on to your mustaches — Jacksonville has surrendered at least 30 points in each of its past five games.

Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns (DK: $5,500 | FD: $7,100)

Speaking of high-profile rookie quarterbacks, Burrow’s only win ironically came against the Jaguars at home in Week 4. The No. 1 pick then had a dud of a Week 5 performance in Baltimore, driving down his DFS pricing, but Burrow bounced back in Week 6, putting up 20.7 fantasy points on the road against a tough Indy defense. He won’t light the world on fire, but RotoQL’s model believes he can once again outperform his price tag. We project him at 17.5 points, easily worth a $5,500 investment at home against an inconsistent Browns secondary.

Week 7 DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, values

David Johnson, Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers (DK: $5,300 | FD: $6,300)

Reports of Johnson’s demise may have been greatly exaggerated. The Texans’ befuddling trade of DeAndre Hopkins to land DJ last season clouds the big picture a bit, but the veteran back has had a big impact on Houston’s offense early in 2020. He’s already racked up 350 rushing yards (4.0 yards per carry) and 119 receiving yards (9.9 yards per catch), and he’s found the end zone three times. If he gets 20 touches at home against Green Bay’s last-place run defense, he’s a sure bet to accumulate 100-plus all-purpose yards for the fourth time this year.

D’Andre Swift, Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons (DK: $5,400 | FD: $6,100)

Just before Detroit’s bye, Swift enjoyed a 15.2-point PPR performance at $4,300 DK/$5,300 FD against New Orleans in Week 4. Then the rookie broke out in a major way in Week 6, scoring 30.3 fantasy points in Jacksonville at $4,500/$5,400. We don’t expect him to continue doubling his points production week after week, but we do expect Detroit to feature Swift much more in Atlanta than his pricing suggests. Veteran Adrian Peterson’s yards per carry average has gone down every week of this season, and Swift has averaged 6.1 yards per carry and 8.2 yards per reception on his way to 289 scrimmage yards and four total scores. Free D’Andre! Against a mediocre Falcons run D, RotoQL likes the Swift-blade to put up at least 14 fantasy points.

Zack Moss, Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (DK: $4,200 | FD: $5,400)

Extreme value alert! If you watched the Bills’ pitiful Monday night performance against the defending-champion Chiefs, you probably noticed Devin Singletary did not look great. The second-year back scored 5.5 PPR points against KC after managing just 4.3 at Tennessee one week prior. Cue Moss, who finally seems healthy after battling a toe injury that forced him out of three straight games. In what should be a positive game script against the abysmal defense of the Jets, you could do much worse than Moss at these bargain prices. If he falls into the end zone once or twice, you might end up with the value play of the weekend.

FanDuel, DraftKings Picks Week 7: WR sleepers, values

Kenny Golladay, Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons (DK: $6,700 | FD: $7,600)

When will the nation put some respect on this man’s name? In the three games since Golladay returned from a hamstring injury, the Pro Bowler has averaged 17.1 PPR points. He easily leads the Lions in targets per game (7), receiving yards (224), yards per game (74.7), and receiving yards per target (10.7). He’s also scored two touchdowns. Babytron led the NFL with 11 touchdown catches last season, and the Falcons allow three passing TDs per game, tied with New Orleans for the most in the league.  In a game with a huge over/under with Atlanta opponents scoring 73.9 percent of the time they reach the red zone, Kenny G might be adding to his greatest hits in the ATL this weekend.

Tim Patrick, Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $4,600 | FD: $5,500)

Don’t look now (or do look now — what does that expression even mean!?), but Patrick has averaged 19.2 fantasy points in Denver’s past three games. His cost average on DraftKings in that same span has been just a hair over $3,900. Kansas City’s defense has been stout, but its offense has been better. The Broncos may have to pass a lot against the defending champions, and while second-year QB Drew Lock did not look great against New England last week, he got the job done. Patrick was on the field for 92 percent of Denver’s offensive snaps, and he received exactly one-third of Lock’s 24 passes. He put up over 100 yards receiving for the second-straight game, but failed to find the end zone for the first time in three weeks. At home as 9.5-point underdogs, bet on TP for a TD against KC.

Christian Kirk, Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks (DK: $4,900 | FD: $5,400)

With the aforementioned Kyler Murray balling out and the Seahawks woeful secondary rolling into town, Kirk will be a popular waiver wire pickup as well as a DFS sleeper this week. The third-year receiver seems to have leapfrogged Andy Isabella and Larry Fitzgerald as Arizona’s No. 2 pass-catcher behind superstar DeAndre Hopkins. A lightning-rod big-play guy, Kirk turned two touches into two scores in the Cards’ rout of the Cowboys on Monday Night Football. Kirk took a touch-pass six yards to the house at the beginning of the second quarter and then blazed past every Cowboy for an 80-yard touchdown just eight minutes later. Don’t call it a fluke, either — Kirk caught five-of-seven targets for 78 yards one week prior against the Jets.

Week 7 NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, values

Hunter Henry, Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $4,500 | FD: $5,800)

If you slide the aforementioned Herbert into your QB slot, you’d be wise to consider plugging Henry in as your tight end for a Charger stack. The 6-5, 250-pound vet has averaged seven targets and 12.2 receiving yards per game. Better yet, he’s been on the field for 86.6 percent of LA’s offensive snaps, and Herbert has turned to him in key moments. Henry has converted nearly 25 percent of Charger first downs, and he gets lots of red-zone looks. Expect big things from HH at home against the Jags, who rank 25th in fantasy points allowed to tight ends.

Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals (DK: $4,000 | FD: $5,400)

Hooper has been trending up with five catches and double-digit fantasy points in each of Cleveland’s past three games, but the DraftKings listed price for the former Falcon remains bargain-bin low. He won’t gash the Bengals for 100 yards, but he might catch at least 70 percent of his passes for the fifth time this season and he’s always a threat to find paydirt. Only five teams allow more points to tight ends than Cincinnati, so Hooper seems like a slam dunk at these prices.

Week 7 NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepers

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (DK: $3,400 | FD: $4,500)

The Chargers have underwhelmed out of the gate this season, but injuries and a tough early schedule have been key factors to their struggles. Three of the five quarterbacks the Bolts have faced so far — Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, and Drew Brees — are Super Bowl MVPs. Gardner Minshew doesn’t fit in with that group (except for the fact that he’s a handsome dude). Jacksonville yields the 12th-most fantasy points to defenses, so the Chargers should return to double-digit fantasy production like they enjoyed in Week 1 against the Bengals. If defensive end Melvin Ingram and defensive tackle Justin Jones both return, LA is a lock as the best value D/ST of the week.

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