EA SPORTS’ Ultimate Team strategy in FIFA 21, FIFA 22, and FIFA 23 has been widely panned, and it is unlikely to alter in FIFA 23. However, you may check the FUT pack weight odds to determine if you have a chance of pulling an 84+ rated card.
In general, the greater a player’s rating in Ultimate Team, the more money they’re worth on the FUT market. There are exceptions to this rule, such as a big list of meta players, but it’s a decent approach to quickly determine whether something is valuable or not.
If you get over 83 OVR when opening packs, you’ll get aboard animation, and if you get any higher, you might get a walkout. All of the FUT pack animations are covered in a separate guide we’ve created.
However, understanding your chances of acquiring elite players when purchasing a pack with FIFA Points or FUT coins is always helpful, and many of these have been confirmed by EA.
FIFA 22 pack weight odds and chances
Seasonal awards in FUT Division Rivals, Squad Battles FUT Draft, SBCs, and even Weekend League may be used to obtain FIFA 22 packs.
Here, we’ll go through some of the most common Gold packs available in Ultimate Team, as well as the odds of getting cards of various ratings.
FIFA 22 Gold pack odds
- Gold 75+ OVR Player = 100%
- Gold 82+ OVR Player = 7.7%
- Gold 83+ OVR Player = 3.5%
Premium Gold pack odds
The odds of packing a high-rated Gold player are represented by the percentages below:
- Gold 75+ OVR Player = 100%
- Gold 82+ OVR Player = 30%
- Gold 84+ OVR Player = 7.5%
Premium Gold Preview pack odds
The Preview Packs somewhat boost your odds of carrying an 84+ rated player in FIFA 22:
- Gold 75+ OVR Player = 100%
- Gold 82+ OVR Player = 30%
- Gold 84+ OVR Player = 7.9%
Premium Gold Players pack odds
- Gold 75+ OVR Player = 100%
- Gold 82+ OVR Player = 51%
- Gold 86+ OVR Player = 4.2%
Rare Players pack odds
- Gold 75+ OVR Player = 100%
- Gold 82+ OVR Player = 95%
- Gold 88+ OVR Player = 6.6%
Rare Gold pack odds
- Gold 75+ OVR Player = 100%
- Gold 82+ OVR Player = 58%
- Gold 86+ OVR Player = 4.3%
FIFA 22 Mega pack odds
- Gold 75+ OVR Player = 100%
- Gold 82+ OVR Player = 79%
- Gold 87+ OVR Player = 6.6%
Rare Mega pack odds
- Gold 75+ OVR Player = 100%
- Gold 82+ OVR Player = 92%
- Gold 88+ OVR Player = 4.2%
These numbers were derived from data from FIFA 21 Preview Packs, and they will most likely be the same for FIFA 22. We will, however, update this page as new information becomes available.